The Weekend's situation

23rd-24th March 2019


FW EDM Weather

More of the same weather with some areas, especially those in the coastal north and east, having some cloud with the chance of morning drizzle patches and light showers. In the afternoons this moisture gets pushed inland and may create isolated downpours. Otherwise mainly dry, calm and warmer than average nationwide.


14-day outlook 14 Day Outlook Portrait w white bg

The equinox was on Thursday and as we go through this weekend and next week the nights in NZ will tip towards being longer than the days as we head towards winter. In true Autumn style, we have a classic cold front next week. Until then Friday and the weekend remain similar to previous days with light winds, some morning cloud and drizzle/light showers, mainly dry afternoons with possible sea breezes and perhaps an isolated late shower. By Tuesday to Thursday, a cold front moves up NZ, heavy rain on the West Coast, strong winds in Eastern/Central areas and a 10-degree drop in daytime highs next Wednesday in the south. Behind it? Another dry high at this stage.




Soil Moisture Soil Moisture NIWA

Higher humidity, morning drizzle and isolated afternoon downpours means farms in both islands have some chance of a spike in pasture growth this week. Perhaps one of the best candidates will be Waikato, with isolated daily downpours likely to develop there bringing good relief to those lucky enough to get them. But, elsewhere the general trend is for a drier and warmer than usual week. Any positive pasture growth will be hit and miss. Perhaps a better chance next week for pasture.

Precipitation outlook

Tuesday 19th, March 2019 - Wednesday 27th, March 2019


Percipitation mm

Precipitation (% of normal) during the first period: 

Tuesday 19th, March 2019 - Wednesday 27th, March 2019      




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Weather Trends


A few drizzly showers this weekend and a couple isolated afternoon or evening downpours otherwise mainly dry. Next Tuesday heavy rain moves up the West coast and continues into Wednesday. On Thursday some rain (perhaps patchy) moves into the North Island too.


Light winds this weekend for many with sea breezes initially. By Sunday a nor'west breeze develops in the very south and then next week those winds ramp up from the lower North Island southwards, changing cooler SW on Wednesday and Thursday.


This week, thanks in part to the high and light nor'east airflow, most places have both warmer than average days and nights. Some inland will be up to 8 degrees above normal during the afternoons.


Afternoon downpours, mainly inland through both islands this week, will be worth monitoring. Some will be heavy and may cause localised flooding or flash flooding. There is a chance of isolated thunder. In saying that, most regions look drier than normal.