Saturday, April 20, 2024

The grain of truth

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With grain prices lower than they’ve been for more than a decade FAR’s Nick Poole says there’s a need to differentiate between agronomy that creates yield potential, and that which protects yield potential. Andrew Swallow reports. What winter cereals have you sown? If you heard Nick Poole from the Foundation for Arable Research (FAR) speak at the organisation’s recent round of trial results meetings and haven’t opted for cultivars with a robust disease resistance profile, you might be kicking yourself, especially if you’ve been tempted by the trend to earlier drilling in a push for more yield. Poole discussed strategies for “maximising profitability of cereal crops in the current economic climate”. While he stressed he was not presenting a recipe, choosing disease-resistant cultivars was a central theme. “It all comes back to germplasm,” he said, reflecting on the fact that the optimum nitrogen rate for winter wheat varies little with movement in grain or nitrogen price – see Table 1 below. “When you select a variety think about the diseases that are prevalent in your region,” Poole urged. For example, wheat cultivar Torch is susceptible to leaf rust but has good septoria resistance, making it a wise choice for the far south and possibly south Canterbury, but more risky and-or costly to grow further north.
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“Leaf rust is much less of an issue the further south you go, to the extent that in Southland it turns up very rarely.”

If you have sown a variety that is susceptible to diseases common in your region, then fungicide input and consequent cost to protect yield effectively will be considerably higher than for a resistant cultivar.

Poole compared such yield protection to insurance.

“You can stack the odds in your favour, and reduce that insurance cost if you’ve got genetic resistance on your side.

“If you’ve not got it, then you really need to consider when you put [those cultivars] in the ground. The earlier you put them in, the more you will have to spend on protecting them.”

Following two seasons of low disease pressure and, in many situations including FAR trials, negative margins over fungicide costs, growers could be tempted to slash fungicide inputs in the face of lower grain prices.

Poole warned of “farming next year’s crop on last year’s data” but said if considering cutting fungicide inputs, to “do it with varieties and sowing dates that make it possible”.

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