Thursday, April 25, 2024

USDA forecasts slightly higher milk production

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The USDA has released its monthly World Supply and Demand Estimates. In the report, forecasted US milk production in 2014 is revised upward to 206 billion pounds and the all-milk price forecast range is increased to $23.55 to $23.75 per cwt.
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Highlights from the report:

The milk production forecasts for 2014 and 2015 are raised slightly as lower feed costs are expected to support higher output per cow. Fat basis export forecasts for 2014 and 2015 are lowered as Russia’s ban on imports from a number of dairy exporting countries will likely increase competition in export markets. Fat basis imports are raised as supplies in competing exporters are expected to be large. The skim-solids export forecast is raised slightly for 2014, but is reduced in 2015 as competition increases. Skim-solids imports are unchanged from last month.

Butter prices and whey price forecasts are raised for 2014 with strength in butter prices expected to carry into 2015. Cheese prices and nonfat dry milk prices are forecast higher in 2014, but their price forecasts for 2015 are unchanged from last month. Class III and Class IV prices for 2014 are raised on stronger component product prices and the Class III price forecast for 2015 is raised reflecting strength in whey prices. The all milk price is raised to $23.55 to $23.75 per cwt for 2014, but remains unchanged at $19.75 to $20.75 per cwt for 2015.

Click here to download the report.

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