Saturday, April 20, 2024

OMF NZ Futures report – 18 June 2014

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The falling price trend halted last night as GDT Event 118 closed this morning in positive territory.  On a weighted basis across all product prices increased by 1.3%.  This general rise in prices was largely driven from the WMP market which increased by 1.78%, however on closer inspection this was not a particularly bullish sign as the price rise was a result of a dramatic 22.31% fall in WMP supply.  Overall the volume of product offered was down 10.69% due to the WMP decrease being offset by relatively good increases in AMF and Butter supply.
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Focusing on the Futures products, on a weighted average basis the WMP, SMP and AMF products increased in price by 0.85% on the back of a 12.87% fall in supply.  OMF expects to see some support come to the NZX traded market in the short term as traders look at the headline numbers however we remain bearish in the medium term due to low demand for physical from Asia causing traders to offset risk by selling the futures.

It was a mixed day for NZX Futures yesterday due to some book squaring ahead of GDT.  In Whole Milk Powder 112 lots traded in June at $3520, down $40, 150 lots traded in July at $3450, up $50 and 28 lots traded in August, finishing the session down $50. In SMP, 36 lots in July crossed the screen at $3750, down $30. Finally in AMF June 150 lots dealt at $3985, down 35 and July traded 32 lots, down $40.

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