Wednesday, April 24, 2024

GDT triggers larger drops in NZX Derivatives market

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Prices in the NZX Dairy Derivatives market dropped even further last week, with all products seeing declines in almost all contract periods. While the Derivatives market had been predicting a fall on GlobalDairyTrade (GDT), the fall at last week’s event was even larger than anticipated. This triggered some larger price drops in the Derivatives market late in the week. 
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Whole milk powder (WMP) futures closed out the week at US$2300/t for the November 2015 contract – a decline of US$270/t from last week. Skim milk powder (SMP) futures was at US$1920/t for the same contract period, anhydrous milkfat (AMF) futures at US$3700/t and butter futures at US$2600/t.

The market is continuing to look very flat for future-dated contracts. The change that AgirHQ expected to see in the market post-GDT has not yet eventuated.

Activity in the latter part of the week was higher however – both on and off market. On Thursday, 1470t at a value of US$3.46m was traded on-market, while 1800t at a value of US$4.22m was traded off-market.

Open interest positions were up for WMP futures, which closed the week at 29,127 open positions (18.3%). Open positions were up for SMP futures as well, closing the week at 5377 open positions (+7.1%).

 

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