Friday, March 29, 2024

NZ commodity prices rise on beef, aluminium

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New Zealand commodity prices rose 0.4% last month as gains in the price of beef and aluminium products made-up for ongoing declines in dairy prices. The ANZ Commodity Price Index rose to 233.4 in February from 232.4 a month earlier and was down 18% on an annual basis.
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In NZ dollar terms, the index was unchanged in February and down 10% on the year as a weaker kiwi helped offset the global decline. Non-dairy prices were up 2.3% in the month, led by a 10% jump in beef prices and a 2.6% monthly gain in aluminium prices.

"The improvement in beef prices has been led by tighter supply out of Australia and NZ, seasonality in the US market, and a reduction in inventory levels that had built up at the end of last year," ANZ Bank agri-economist Con Williams said in a note.

"Aluminium prices were supported by tightening Chinese inventories and coincided with price improvements for the rest of the industrial metals complex."

Still, dairy prices were weaker, falling 2.5% in the month. Whole milk powder, NZ’s biggest export commodity, fell 3.2%.

Williams said oversupply was still an impediment to a recovery in prices, with European production supported by the removal of quotas, good weather and cheap feed.

"NZ milk supply is faring better than earlier expected as well," he said.

Prices at Fonterra’s GlobalDairyTrade auction rose this week, their first gain this year, with China milk imports now expected to start increasing.

The index is heavily reliant on dairy, which carries a 39.3% weighting, followed by beef at 12.4% and lamb at 11.6%.

The tilt towards dairy was reduced by about 8% because of the fall in dairy earnings over the past 12 months.

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